5 Modelling and Forecasting 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Transport Model for Scotland 5.3 TMfS:05A Representation of Baseline Conditions 5.4 Population and Employment Forecasting 5.5 Growth between 2005 and 2017 5.6 Growth between 2017 and 2032 5.7 Future Year Trip Matrices 5.8 Do-Minimum Definition 5.9 Unrestricted normal operation Do-Minimum Forecasts 5.10 Restricted operation Do-Minimum Forecasts 5.11 Local Operational Model