Timeline
Already happening
- Battery electric HGVs available for back to base operations and smaller sizes; being trialled for 40-44t
- Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles at prototype/trial stages
- Electricity grid upgrade costs partially shared by taxpayers
- Detailed information on the hurdles facing HGV decarbonisation and an agreed sequence of actions to overcome them
- Vehicle/energy/battery-as-a-service business models in use for buses
Next 2 years
- Better understanding of the Scottish en route energy infrastructure required for zero emission HGVs
- Further changes to the electricity market
- Bus operators and public fleets increasingly sharing energy infrastructure with other fleets
- A culture of collaboration between operators, the manufacturing, energy and finance sectors built upon robust data
Next 5 years
- Mechanisms developed for small fleets to access the commercial investment and economies of scale available to larger fleets
- Operators, both large and small, are confident in the technical and financial choices open to them
- A wide range of zero emission HGVs up to 44t will be available where infrastructure and demand are in place
2030
- 50% of European truck sales by Scania, Volvo and Mercedes Benz will be zero emission vehicles
- Depot charging and fuelling is well understood and timescales for installation are clear
- There is sufficient en route energy infrastructure across Scotland to unlock wider transition
2035
- New HGVs under 26 tonnes sold in the UK must be zero emission
- The Scottish workforce is confident and equipped to handle decarbonisation
2040
- All new HGVs sold in the UK must be zero emission
- All zero emission HGVs can charge and fuel as required in Scotland, at depots, destinations and en route