8. Progress towards the casualty reduction targets for 2020 (Tables 5-9)

Key Reported Road Casualties Scotland 2018

8. Progress towards the casualty reduction targets for 2020 (Tables 5-9)

8.1 The following section provides information on the progress made towards each of the casualty reduction targets set out in Scotland’s Road Safety Framework to 2020 (see section 11.5 for more information about the Framework).

8.2 Progress is assessed towards a milestone in 2015 and the final target by means of an indicative trend based on a constant annual percentage reduction (see section 11.6 for more information). Detailed tables for each of the targets, including a breakdown by mode and historic data are included in Tables 5 to 9.

8.3 Scotland is currently on track to meet only 3 of the 5 targets, although in each case there has been a significant improvement since the 2004-2008 baseline.

Target: 40% reduction in those killed by 2020

8.4 There were 160 people killed in 2018, a 45% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline average. The decrease seen to 2018 is greater than that required to achieve the 2020 milestone reduction (40%). Figure 4 shows that the total number of fatalities in 2018 was below the indicative line required to achieve the target [Table 5].

Figure 4: Progress to casualty reduction target: Casualties killed

Target: 55% reduction in those seriously injured by 2020

8.5 There were 1,581 serious injuries in 2018, a 39% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline level. The decrease seen to 2018 is less than that required to achieve the framework target for 2020 (a reduction of 55% from 2004-08) [Table 6].

Figure 5: Progress to casualty reduction target: Seriously injured casualties

Target: 50% reduction in children killed by 2020

8.6 Due to small numbers and year-to-year fluctuations this target is measured using a three year average. An average of 6 children a year were killed in the 2016-2018 period, a 63% reduction since the 2004-2008 baseline. The current reduction seen to 2018 is greater than that required to meet the 2020 target [Table 7].

Figure 6: Progress to casualty reduction target: Children killed

Target: 65% reduction in children seriously injured by 2020

8.7 142 children were recorded as seriously injured in 2018, a 56% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline. The decrease to 2018 is less than that required to achieve the 2020 milestone reduction (65%) [Table 8].

Figure 7: Progress to casualty reduction target: Children seriously injured

Target: 10% reduction in slight casualties by 2020 (per 100 million vehicle kilometres)

8.8 Table 9 shows that the 2018 slight casualty rate was 13.84 casualties per 100 million vehicle kilometres. This was a 57% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline and is therefore greater than the reduction required to achieve the 2020 target [Table 9].

Figure 8: Progress to casualty reduction target: Slightly Injured casualties per 100 million vehicle km

Table 5: People killed by mode of transport, 1994 – 2018

	Pedestrian	Pedalcycle	Motorcycle	Car	Bus/coach	Goods1	Other2	All road users
1994-98 ave	104	11	31	209	3	15	5	378
1994	111	5	24	197	9	14	3	363
1995	121	11	33	221	1	19	3	409
1996	106	15	29	185	3	14	5	357
1997	87	9	37	219	2	16	7	377
1998	96	13	33	223	1	13	6	385
1999	89	8	30	169	1	11	2	310
2000	72	12	40	182	1	15	4	326
2001	76	10	49	194	0	14	5	348
2002	73	8	46	154	0	21	2	304
2003	63	14	50	189	1	14	5	336
2004	76	7	42	167	3	12	1	308
2005	66	16	34	153	0	15	2	286
2006	61	10	58	175	0	8	2	314
2007	60	4	40	160	0	15	2	281
2008	60	9	34	153	1	8	5	270
2009	47	5	43	116	0	5	0	216
2010	47	7	35	105	1	8	5	208
2011	43	7	33	89	1	9	3	185
2012	59	9	21	73	1	13	0	176
2013	38	13	23	89	2	5	2	172
2014	59	8	30	94	1	2	9	203
2015	44	5	27	75	1	13	3	168
2016	32	8	30	106	3	6	6	191
2017	38	5	29	64	2	3	4	145
2018 prov.	33	6	33	75	2	5	6	160
2004-08 average	65	9	42	162	1	12	2	292
2014-18 average	41	6	30	83	2	6	6	173
Numbers in 2018 implied by target	41	6	27	103	1	7	2	186
2018 % change: on 2017	*	*	*	17%	*	*	*	10%
on 04-08 ave	49%	*	*	54%	*	*	*	45%

* A percentage change is not shown if the denominator is 50 or fewer.

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.

2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

Table 6: People seriously injured by mode of transport, 1994 – 2018

	Pedestrian	Pedalcycle	Motorcycle	Car	Bus/coach	Goods1	Other2	All road users
1994-98 ave	1,272	238	324	2,292	93	156	84	4,460
1994	1,536	311	329	2,607	141	197	87	5,208
1995	1,466	281	362	2,432	104	192	93	4,930
1996	1,173	201	271	2,108	93	123	72	4,041
1997	1,124	201	321	2,146	53	120	82	4,047
1998	1,060	197	338	2,167	75	150	85	4,072
1999	1,054	181	401	1,835	82	133	79	3,765
2000	925	164	435	1,796	79	106	63	3,568
2001	842	161	405	1,758	62	115	67	3,410
2002	820	144	410	1,628	59	120	48	3,229
2003	712	125	367	1,511	69	114	59	2,957
2004	674	121	353	1,414	63	83	58	2,766
2005	677	116	371	1,304	63	83	52	2,666
2006	688	131	352	1,258	57	91	58	2,635
2007	594	147	381	1,110	33	87	33	2,385
2008	645	155	396	1,203	59	65	52	2,575
2009	509	152	332	1,135	36	73	50	2,287
2010	457	138	319	903	52	60	40	1,969
2011	515	156	291	758	51	63	44	1,878
2012	461	169	343	847	44	68	49	1,981
2013	401	149	281	718	34	45	39	1,667
2014	420	159	327	686	28	50	31	1,701
2015	424	164	258	638	49	46	23	1,602
2016	397	148	268	762	42	54	26	1,697
2017	379	171	281	662	23	45	32	1,593
2018 prov.	362	156	283	666	35	53	26	1,581
2004-08 average	656	134	371	1,258	55	82	51	2,605
2014-18 average	396	160	283	683	35	50	28	1,635
Numbers in 2018 implied by target	324	66	183	622	27	40	25	1,289
2018 % change: on 2017	4%	9%	1%	1%	*	*	*	1%
on 04-08 ave	45%	16%	24%	47%	36%	35%	49%	39%

* A percentage change is not shown if the denominator is 50 or fewer.

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.

2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

Table 7: Children killed by mode of transport, 1994 – 2018

	Pedestrian	Pedalcycle	Motorcycle	Car	Bus/coach	Goods1	Other2	All road users	3 year average 3
1994-98 ave	17	3	0	8	1	0	0	30
1994	18	4	1	10	4	-	-	37
1995	16	3	-	11	-	-	-	30	31
1996	16	6	1	3	1	-	-	27	28
1997	15	1	-	9	-	1	-	26	28
1998	18	3	-	9	1	-	1	32	28
1999	17	1	-	6	-	-	1	25	26
2000	13	4	-	4	-	-	-	21	22
2001	14	4	-	2	-	-	-	20	18
2002	12	-	-	2	-	-	-	14	17
2003	5	2	-	10	-	-	-	17	14
2004	8	-	1	3	-	-	-	12	13
2005	5	4	-	1	-	-	1	11	16
2006	9	5	-	10	-	1	-	25	15
2007	4	1	-	4	-	-	-	9	18
2008	4	2	1	13	-	-	-	20	11
2009	1	1	-	3	-	-	-	5	10
2010	1	1	1	1	-	-	-	4	5
2011	2	-	-	5	-	-	-	7	4
2012	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
2013	5	2	-	2	-	-	-	9	6
2014	3	-	-	4	-	-	-	7	7
2015	3	1	-	-	-	-	-	4	8
2016	3	1	1	7	-	-	-	12	6
2017	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
2018 prov.	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
2004-08 average	6	2	0	6	-	0	0	15
2014-18 average	3	0	0	2	-	-	0	6
2016-18 average									6
2016-18 avg % change on 04-08 ave									63%

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.

2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

3. All averages rounded to whole percentages.

Table 8: Children seriously injured by mode of transport, 1994 - 2018

	Pedestrian	Pedalcycle	Motorcycle	Car	Bus/coach	Goods1	Other2	All road users
1994-98 ave	546	96	5	136	10	8	10	812
1994	656	140	5	151	20	12	8	992
1995	622	110	7	142	9	13	17	920
1996	524	94	3	115	14	3	10	763
1997	490	77	4	129	3	6	10	719
1998	437	61	8	144	5	6	5	666
1999	413	68	5	102	2	2	8	600
2000	365	61	7	90	7	5	5	540
2001	339	52	7	108	5	6	7	524
2002	328	46	7	109	9	7	7	513
2003	268	46	5	83	5	2	6	415
2004	239	40	9	74	3	3	4	372
2005	239	26	11	67	6	2	5	356
2006	239	35	10	60	4	0	2	350
2007	181	28	4	51	1	1	3	269
2008	194	18	5	56	2	1	3	279
2009	155	26	2	62	2	1	5	253
2010	150	23	3	40	7	0	0	223
2011	139	23	2	34	4	0	1	203
2012	132	21	1	34	1	5	0	194
2013	91	11	1	33	3	0	2	141
2014	116	18	4	27	2	1	3	171
2015	97	11	1	27	2	0	2	140
2016	105	8	4	46	2	2	0	167
2017	106	10	4	29	0	3	0	152
2018 prov.	96	15	1	29	0	0	1	142
2004-08 average	218	29	8	62	3	1	3	325
2014-18 average	104	12	3	32	1	1	1	154
Numbers in 2018 implied by target	88	12	3	25	1	1	1	131
2018 % change: on 2017	9%	*	*	*	*	*	*	7%
on 04-08 ave	56%	*	*	53%	*	*	*	56%

* A percentage change is not shown if the denominator is 50 or fewer.

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.

2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

Table 9: Slight casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2018

	Pedestrian	Pedalcycle	Motorcycle	Car	Bus/coach	Goods1	Other2	All road users	Traffic	Slight casualty rate
								numbers	mill veh-km	per 100 mill veh-km
1994-98 ave	3,009	1,034	580	10,859	912	583	501	17,478	37,653	46.42
1994	3,083	1,068	577	10,123	1,084	669	398	17,002	36,000	47.23
1995	3,048	1,031	576	10,321	802	579	498	16,855	36,737	45.88
1996	3,047	1,081	550	10,740	902	499	499	17,318	37,777	45.84
1997	2,944	1,062	590	11,669	886	525	529	18,205	38,581	47.19
1998	2,921	930	605	11,444	887	643	580	18,010	39,168	45.98
1999	2,620	828	594	10,901	841	609	534	16,927	39,770	42.56
2000	2,607	708	655	10,675	854	542	582	16,623	39,561	42.02
2001	2,487	745	724	10,342	761	595	499	16,153	40,065	40.32
2002	2,423	676	711	10,050	801	621	460	15,742	41,535	37.90
2003	2,215	663	697	10,055	822	537	474	15,463	42,038	36.78
2004	2,328	648	599	10,024	849	561	419	15,428	42,705	36.13
2005	2,308	649	677	9,532	794	495	478	14,933	42,718	34.96
2006	2,104	640	658	9,272	706	484	456	14,320	44,119	32.46
2007	2,050	563	640	8,793	590	506	431	13,573	44,666	30.39
2008	1,888	566	612	8,314	527	467	373	12,747	44,470	28.66
2009	1,643	647	646	8,328	437	423	416	12,540	44,219	28.36
2010	1,509	636	491	7,293	487	386	359	11,161	43,488	25.66
2011	1,507	661	482	6,930	453	385	304	10,722	43,390	24.71
2012	1,459	727	503	6,745	396	411	314	10,555	43,549	24.24
2013	1,295	724	471	6,157	358	391	257	9,653	43,840	22.02
2014	1,266	728	469	6,006	262	402	265	9,398	44,839	20.96
2015	1,222	628	450	6,000	282	411	214	9,207	45,374	20.29
2016	1,232	634	411	5,829	257	413	232	9,008	46,459	19.39
2017	946	552	310	4,981	332	354	220	7,695	47,986	16.04
2018 prov.	855	476	324	4,328	193	334	151	6,661	48,137	13.84
2004-08 average	2,136	613	637	9,187	693	503	431	14,200	43,736	32.52
2014-18 average	1,104	604	393	5,429	265	383	216	8,394	36,932	18.10
Rate in 2017 implied by target										29.89
2018 % change:
on 2017	10%	14%	5%	13%	42%	6%	31%	13%	0%	14%
on 04-08 ave	60%	22%	49%	53%	72%	34%	65%	53%	10%	57%

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.

2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

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