Progress towards casualty reduction targets for 2030

Introduction

In early 2021, the Scottish Government published a Road Safety Framework to 2030. The following section provides information on the progress made towards the four main casualty reduction targets outlined in the framework. These targets are included in Table 2 and each reduction target is assessed against the 2014 to 2018 average.

More information regarding how we determine whether performance is on track is contained in the Supporting Information section.

Table 2: Casualty reduction targets in Scotland’s 2021 Road Safety Framework
Target 2030 target % reduction
People killed 50%
People seriously injured 50%
Children (aged < 16) killed 60%
Children (aged < 16) seriously injured 60%

When reporting progress towards the two targets relating to serious injuries, years prior to 2020 (including the baseline period of 2014-2018) are reported on the basis of adjusted figures (see Introduction for more information).

Target: 50% reduction in those killed by 2030

There were 134 people killed in 2025, a 23% reduction since the adjusted 2014-18 baseline average. Provisionally, the number in 2025 is not on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 50% from 2014-18 baseline). Figure 11 shows that the total number of fatalities in 2025 was above the indicative line required to achieve the target.

Target: 50% reduction in those seriously injured by 2030

On the basis of adjusted figures, there were 1,906 serious injuries in 2025, a 30% reduction since the adjusted 2014-18 baseline level.

Provisionally, the number in 2025 is not on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 50% from 2014-18 baseline). Figure 12 shows the reduction is above the indicative line required to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 50% from 2014-18 baseline).

Target: 60% reduction in children killed by 2030

Due to small numbers and year-to-year fluctuations this target is measured using a three-year average. An average of 3 children a year were killed in the 2023-2025 period, a 46% reduction from the 2014-2018 baseline.

Provisionally, the number in 2023-2025 is on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 60% from 2014-18 baseline). Figure 13 shows the reduction is below the indicative line required to meet the framework target for 2030.

Target: 60% reduction in children seriously injured by 2030

On the basis of adjusted figures, there were 173 serious injuries in 2025, a 33% reduction since the adjusted 2014-18 baseline level.

Provisionally, the number in 2025 is not on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 60% from 2014-18 baseline). Figure 14 shows the reduction is above the indicative line required to meet the framework target for 2030.

Figure 11: Progress towards the 50% reduction in those killed by 2030 target, as described in previous text
Figure 11: Progress towards the 50% reduction in those killed by 2030 target
Figure 12: Progress towards the 50% reduction in those seriously injured by 2030  target, as described in previous text
Figure 12: Progress towards the 50% reduction in those seriously injured by 2030 target
Figure 13: Progress towards the 60% reduction in children killed by 2030 target, as described in previous text
Figure 13: Progress towards the 60% reduction in children killed by 2030 target
Figure 14: Progress towards the 60% reduction in children seriously injured by 2030 target, as described in previous text
Figure 14: Progress towards the 60% reduction in children seriously injured by 2030 target